The sword of no-confidence vote is hanging over Canada’s Trudeau government, how strong is the challenge of the opposition?

A no-confidence motion against Prime Minister Justin Trudeau’s government was introduced in the Canadian Parliament on Tuesday.

This proposal was introduced in Parliament by Trudeau’s main rival, Conservative Party leader Pierre Poilievre. This is considered a big test for Trudeau’s government.

The motion is expected to be voted on Wednesday, although political analysts believe it will not succeed as smaller parties have already indicated they will support the Trudeau government.

Poilievre’s allegation: People are troubled by rising inflation and crime

Poilievre opened the debate in Parliament with a scathing attack on Trudeau, accusing the government of failing to control the cost of living, the housing crisis and crime, while doubling the national debt.

He said that “after nine years of Liberal government, the promise of Canada has been broken.” Poilievre said that if he had the chance to come to power, he would eliminate the carbon tax. In addition, he promised to boost housing construction, fix the budget and curb crime.

Trudeau’s answer: Times are tough, but the fight will continue

Appearing on ‘The Late Show with Stephen Colbert’ on Monday, Prime Minister Trudeau acknowledged that Canadians are facing “really tough times.”

“People are having trouble paying for groceries, rent and gas. They’re looking for a change,” he said, but he also promised he would “continue to fight.”

There will be no immediate threat to the government

The no-confidence motion presented against the Liberal government in the Canadian Parliament is very unlikely to succeed, as two small political parties have already indicated their support for the Trudeau government. These parties will vote against the motion.

However, Conservative Party leader Pierre Poilievre has vowed to continue trying to topple the government. He said he would have another chance to challenge the government in early October.

Justin Trudeau came to power in 2015 and remained in power after defeating Poilievre’s two predecessors in the 2019 and 2021 elections. The Liberals had struck a deal with the New Democratic Party (NDP) that would see their government remain in power until the end of 2025.

However, the NDP felt that an alliance with the Liberals was harming its own popularity, leading it to terminate the agreement early.

According to the latest Angus Reid poll, the Conservatives are far ahead of the Liberals with 43 per cent of voters supporting them, while the Liberals have 21 per cent and the NDP has 19 per cent.

In Canada’s Westminster parliamentary system, the ruling party must enjoy the confidence of the House of Commons, which means it must maintain the support of a majority of members.

The Liberals currently hold 153 seats, while the Conservatives have 119, the Bloc Quebecois has 33 and the NDP has 25. Political analysts say an election likely won’t happen until at least the spring of 2025.

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